# AI spring and the autumn of my career

- Link: https://www.andreidraganescu.info/2023/03/06/ai-spring-and-the-autumn-of-my-career/
- Published: 2023-03-06T18:12:46+03:00
- Author: Andrei Draganescu

Hmm, I am just one year short from a taking a sabbatical. Finally! I am supposed
to collect the fruits of arguing with computers for 20 years! And you’re telling
me a computer will make me obsolete? Now?

A while ago I was writing on my blog:

> What, are you scared of Amazon Go? I am not. In fact I say: thank God for it, 
> we should have it everywhere. But what about all those cashier people? Well, they’re
> out. And yes this is a good thing.
>  Me, February 28, 2017

See the hubris? See the overconfidence? I am sorry. I really am.

I don’t know if reincarnation from animals is true, but one thing I learned from
having a big brain is that it’s far too easy to be perfectly rational and stupid
at the same time.

It seems that what looked then like a far far enemy, is now on my own doorstep with
a huge army. It’s no longer about “others”. Looking at Copilot and ChatGPT alone–
I panic. Knowing there’s likely twelve to twelve hundred companies trying to learn
from these specific AIs of today how to make the next overly specific AI of tomorrow–
I have income fear. Knowing that all it takes is one successful demo for a crash
of the work market where MY job is – well, I am sorry I did not have more faith 
in humanity’s ability to overdo itself!

However, old habits die hard, right? I am the same old me, so here is the current
shape of my hubris. Right now,

## **AI is not creative, AI is generative. **

AI generates media not art, because creation in art happens before the result, and
from that “before”, the art’s meaning springs. AI generates related tokens, not 
responses, because the creation of a response involves a thread that is rooted in
the experience of the partners in dialogue. AI generates fact correlations, not 
answers, because to create an answer a political stance is required, and we want
anything but political AI.

Anywhere in the combination of AI techniques, some weird connection between machine
learning, neural networks, data mining, knowledge discovery, rule-based modeling,
fuzzy logic-based approaches, uncertainty reasoning, case-based reasoning, natural
language processing, computer vision and, finally, searching and optimization, will
make human creativity a sort of amazing ancient naive attempt at solving problems.
It’s not impossible that it will appear. But it’s not a pressing matter either. 

Even in that future of AI creativity, as long as meaning craving humans will be 
the consumers, admirers, paying customers, of said AI creativity, at the very least
there will remain the snobbish formation of a reserved, untouchable, unmovable top
spot for your fellow mortal’s creative output.

Cool, but the generation is so good. And it’s now! I still panic.

## **Generative AI is here, it’s almost perfect and it costs a dime.**

In a world of automated generative everything, the only thing that remains lucrative
and valuable is creative everything. And those who make the tools for human creativity.
Yes,_ those who make the tools for human creativity._ We, all _who make the tools
for human creativity_, we have found a warm safe spot. Hurrah. For now at least.

All tools for creators appear to be heading into a bright future. Yes the brightness
comes from AI vaporizing many jobs, but the job of empowering humans to create will
become ever more important.

The makers of tools for creators are to partner with AI, not be removed by AI, because
AI is not creative yet. It, AI, is only, merely?, generative. Learning to play something
very well is not a guarantee of being favored by the public. Why? Because, for now,
there is a layer of meaning separating the generation of really believable replies
to a prompt, from an actual act of imperfect, broken, human creation. 

That is why human creativity, and its emboldening via good tools, is the correct
complement to the new technology.

> 1960s: "COBOL will let non-programmers make the software!"
> 1980s: "4GLs will let
> non-programmers make the software!"2000s: "UML will let non-programmers make the
> software!"2020s: "AI will let non-programmers make the software!"
> — Gary Bernhardt (@garybernhardt) [March 4, 2023](https://twitter.com/garybernhardt/status/1631866199515738113?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw)

Like others, I think that the welcoming of AI, a welcoming as a partner not as an
enemy that will ruin us, will allow us to do business in a way where we can mitigate
the potential losses from websites which will likely fall extinct under the deluge
of know-it-all bots. 

Partnering up with AI in ways which make self expression become easier for everyone,
clearer, more approachable by anyone, cheaper and more discoverable is the thing
to do to capture the new long tail forming right now.

> I'm excited to stop writing code and start writing machine-readable specifications
> of precise intended behavior
> — Ryan Cavanaugh 👉 searyanc.dev on bsky (@SeaRyanC) [March 4, 2023](https://twitter.com/SeaRyanC/status/1631910395790397441?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw)

I may be a hubris filled human and overconfident chump, from time to time, but, 
hey at least I am consistent. In that same blog post I wrote:

> Human creativity and human emotion are the only safe places to put career prospects
> into
>  Me. February 28, 2017

It still holds true, after several leaps of AI state of the art. We’re all here 
helping human creativity and human emotion find a home in the form of bits and bytes.
We’re safe, I think.
